This page is an example of our Swing Trade Service. Click HERE to go to our secure order form.
SMT Swing Trade Model

The Rundate button updates the prediction model and is active from 9:30 AM to 3:40 PM ET each trading day. The later in the day the model is updated, the more accurate the signal.

Not Current. For demonstration purposes only.

NDX Signal
Today's Results
Next day predictionUP
Pct Up 66.7%
Occurrences9
Trading History
Start Date05/07/01
Pct Winners 64.5%
Number of Trades440
Pct days traded 88.9%
Max Cons. losers5
Max Drawdown-21.5%
Cum Gain*21282.6%
Annualized Gain*1370.2%
Av. Gain per trade* 1.35%

The Cum Gain*, Annual Gain* and Ave Gain per Trade* are based on the 2 beta index funds.
SPX Signal
Today's Results
Next day predictionUP
Pct Up 59.1%
Occurrences22
Trading History
Start Date05/07/01
Pct Winners 63.5%
Number of Trades460
Pct days traded 92.9%
Max Cons. losers5
Max Drawdown-22.8%
Cum Gain*1192.4%
Annualized Gain*260.4%
Av. Gain per trade* 0.60%

The Cum Gain*, Annual Gain* and Ave Gain per Trade* are based on the 2 beta index funds.
How the Model Works
The model predicts the direction of the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) and S&P 500 Index (SPX) for the following trading day. It is based on proprietary pattern recognition algorithms over a six year look-back period. The model matches similar patterns that occurred during the look-back period and records the number and percentage of occurrences that closed either up or down the following day. Predictions are then based on the statistical probability of the index repeating that pattern.

Reading the Prediction Table Output:  

Rundate: Records the date and time the model is updated. The Rundate button is active during regular market hours, from 9:30 AM and 4:00 PM ET. Subscribers can update the model at any time during the market day, but the most reliable predictions are generated just before the market close. Subscribers should update the prediction(s) to coincide with their broker's cut-off time.

Next Day Prediction: The statistical probability that the index will close UP, DOWN or NONE the following trading day. NONE means that past pattern occurrences were evenly split between UP and DOWN and therefore, there is no directional bias for the next session.

Pct Up: The percentage of pattern occurrences that closed higher the next trading day. Percentages greater than 50% mean that the odds favor a higher close the next day, while percentages less than 50% favor a lower close.

Occurrences: The number of times today's pattern occurred during the look-back period.

Trading History: The Trading History table is self explanatory. The Cum Gain*, Annual Gain* and Ave Gain per Trade* are based on trading the 2 beta index funds.

Using the Prediction Model:  

1. Traders can use the enhanced index mutual funds (Rydex and Profunds), the index tracking stocks (QQQ, SPY) or equity index futures to trade the predictions. While stops cannot be used with mutual funds, the Rydex Dynamic Funds are traded twice a day (morning and afternoon), and can provide some protection against loss. Stops can be used with the tracking stocks and futures.

2. The strongest signals occur when the predictions for both the NDX and SPX are in agreement.

3. The later in the trading day the Prediction Model is updated, the more reliable the predictions.

4. The model is run independently from a secure server and is completely mechanical. Traders control when the model is updated. There is no guessing involved. Traders can base their decisions on the model's statistical output and can gauge the likelihood of a trade's success.